Latest published articles

Gold Tops Treasuries in Reserves as Europe Hunts Lithium

The ECB now says gold has passed US Treasuries as the largest single asset in global central bank reserves, with the metal at 27% of holdings. That is a slow shift years in the making, but the line crossing in mid 2026 is still a marker worth pausing on. The same week, an activist fund went after Australia’s largest gold miner and a US startup said it would drill for lithium under two German and Polish battery factories.

BP Chair Ousted as Europe Logistics Hit by Energy Shock

Energy sits at the front of Friday’s tape. A boardroom shake at BP, fresh European industrial and logistics research flagging an energy price shock feeding into demand, and renewed pressure on Western governments to spell out a transition path. The macro frame around all of it is fiscal strain and demographic drag. Both squeeze the budget available for capital projects.

Ohio Pauses Data Center Tax Breaks as AI Compute Demand Climbs

Ohio paused new tax credit deals for data centers this week. Governor Mike DeWine halted fresh commitments while the state reviews how much taxpayer money flows into hyperscale builds. The signal is small but worth watching. AI compute demand keeps climbing, and political tolerance for subsidizing it is starting to wobble.

Stablecoins, AI Agents, and the Payments Tech Arms Race

The payments stack is being rebuilt while most users still see the same checkout button. Three pressures are pulling on it at once: stablecoins moving from crypto curiosities into fee competitors, AI agents starting to transact for users, and a memory and accelerator chip cycle that decides who can serve all of it.

Nvidia FY27 Setup, ASIC Debate, and the Wider Chip Trade

Nvidia reports FY27 Q1 inside the next two weeks and the setup is unusually balanced. Sell side calls for triple digit free cash flow growth into fiscal 2027 sit next to fresh caution about custom silicon, memory pricing, and hyperscaler capex digestion. The signal is split, which is what makes the print worth a look beyond the headline beat.

Geth Pruning Benchmarks and Quiet API Tradeoffs

Two pull requests against the geth repository closed in the same window today. One was a parallel state pruning experiment that ran into a database wall. The other was a defensive limit on a rarely used HTTP API that maintainers decided was not worth the maintenance load. Together they show how Ethereum execution client decisions actually get made: benchmarks, not narratives.

Oil Slides as Iran Talks Move Toward Reopening Hormuz

Crude prices slipped over the weekend after the US president said Washington would not rush into a deal with Iran, while also signaling that an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was largely negotiated. The market read both lines as the same signal. Traders are pricing a path back to something closer to normal tanker flow, even if the political theater takes another two or three weeks to settle.

PascalFi

PascalFi explores the intersection of quantitative methods and practical investing. Named after Blaise Pascal, the mathematician who laid the groundwork for probability theory, this blog applies data-driven thinking to investment decisions. The art …

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