Energy

BP Chair Ousted as Europe Logistics Hit by Energy Shock

Energy sits at the front of Friday’s tape. A boardroom shake at BP, fresh European industrial and logistics research flagging an energy price shock feeding into demand, and renewed pressure on Western governments to spell out a transition path. The macro frame around all of it is fiscal strain and demographic drag. Both squeeze the budget available for capital projects.

Europe Carbon Fraud, Iran Fertilizer Squeeze, AI Bond Boom

Energy markets ran on three storylines today. A long running scandal over Chinese carbon credits sold into Europe got a new chapter. The Iran war kept squeezing oil, gas, and now sulphur. And the AI buildout kept pulling capital into long dated bonds. Each thread has different drivers but they share one feature: rules and prices that worked last cycle are starting to fail.

PascalFi

PascalFi explores the intersection of quantitative methods and practical investing. Named after Blaise Pascal, the mathematician who laid the groundwork for probability theory, this blog applies data-driven thinking to investment decisions. The art …

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